11. Moran’s I and Geary’s C#
11.1. Global Spatial Autocorrelation Measures#
One statistic for the whole pattern
Test for clustering not for clusters (location)
11.1.1. Moran’s I (1948)#
The most commonly used for many
spatial autocorrelation statistics
, : deviations from mean is the independent variable in this regression, calledspatial lag
Moran's I
depends onspatial weights
, relative magnitude for same weightsSimilar to
Person Correlation
, which is , Here is autocorrelation,
11.1.2. Inference#
How to assess whether the computed value of
Moran's Index
is significantly different from a value for a spatially random distribution
Assume
normal distribution
Compare value to a
reference distribution
obtained from a series of randomly permuted patternsPositive and significant = clustering of like value
Different Process can result in the same pattern
True contagion: Evidence of clustering due to spatial interaction
Spatial interaction can through network other than geographical distance
Apparent contagion: Evidence of clustering due to spatial heterogeneity
Negative and significant = alternating values
Moran Z-value
Z are comparable across variables and across spatial weights
Moran’s I are not comparable if spatial weight matrix are not same
Spatial weight matrix is for spatial similarity measuring
11.2. Geary’s C (1954)#
Squared difference
as measure of dissimilarityValues between 0 and 2
Similar to notion of
variogram
(geo-statistics)
11.2.1. Interpretation#
Positive spatial autocorrelation:
orNegative spatial autocorrelation:
or
11.2.2. Inference#
Same to
Moran's I